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Mixture Models for Ordinal Responses to Account for Uncertainty of Choice

机译:用于选择不确定性的序数响应的混合模型

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摘要

In CUB models the uncertainty of choice is explicitly modelled as a Combination of discrete Uniform and shifted Binomial random variables. The basic concept to model the response as a mixture of a deliberate choice of a response category and an uncertainty component that is represented by a uniform distribution on the response categories is extended to a much wider class of models. The deliberate choice can in particular be determined by classical ordinal response models as the cumulative and adjacent categories model. Then one obtains the traditional and flexible models as special cases when the uncertainty component is irrelevant. It is shown that the effect of explanatory variables is underestimated if the uncertainty component is neglected in a cumulative type mixture model. Visualization tools for the effects of variables are proposed and the modelling strategies are evaluated by use of real data sets. It is demonstrated that the extended class of models frequently yields better fit than classical ordinal response models without an uncertainty component.
机译:在CUB模型中,选择的不确定性明确地建模为离散均匀变量和移位二项式随机变量的组合。将响应建模为响应类别的故意选择和由响应类别上的均匀分布表示的不确定性成分的混合物的基本概念已扩展到更广泛的模型类别。可以通过经典顺序响应模型将累积选择和相邻类别模型确定为故意选择。然后,当不确定性成分不相关时,便获得了传统且灵活的模型作为特殊情况。结果表明,如果在累积型混合模型中忽略了不确定性成分,则说明变量的作用会被低估。提出了用于变量影响的可视化工具,并通过使用实际数据集评估了建模策略。结果表明,扩展模型类别通常比没有不确定性成分的经典顺序响应模型具有更好的拟合度。

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